Man was that some good football this past week. I know a lot of us watch NFL Redzone (what fantasy owner doesn't?), where we were able to watch the Houston game and Vikings game on the screen at the same time going down to last second scores. That’s what I live for. Man I love football. It’s already Week 10 and we are less than 2 months from the playoffs. Enough hullabaloo, let’s set those lineups and gets some wins this week.
Starts
QB Sam Howell, Washington Commanders (@Sea)
It might sound bold, but Sam Howell has a legit chance to finish as a top 10 QB in fantasy this season. Now with 971 yards over a three game stretch he needs to be picked up immediately while still available in over 30% of leagues. He’s far from perfect and will turn the ball over but going over 290 yards in 5 of 9 games this year, his floor is surprisingly high. He's been under 10 points in fantasy just twice this season. He has some great matchups down the stretch including this week against the Seahawks who just gave up 37 points to the Ravens. Pick Howell up and lock him into your lineup for weeks to come. You won’t regret it.
RB Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots (Ind)
The Patriots lead RB has had somewhat of a blah year. He has yet to go over 100 yards rushing and has been under 50 yards rushing in 6 games. He is coming off his best performance of the year due to his 70 yard TD rush against the Commanders. Some might think he’s still a risky play but I think he’s a must start this week. Why is that? Because the defense he’s up against this week has given up a whopping 15 rushing TDs through just 9 games this season. With almost a sure bet for a TD and always a steady volume in the passing game (22 targets over his last 4 games) Stevenson is a must start against the Colts this week.
WR Tank Dell, Houston Texans (@Cin)
I usually don’t like putting boom or bust players on the start list but the rookie receiver's ceiling is darn near the Burj Khalifa. Coming off his best game of his career, shredding the Buccaneers defense for 114 yards and two TDs you have got to get him in your lineup. He has had three games under 40 yards receiving but his target share is rising as he just saw a career-high 11 targets. He’s not just getting a few deep balls a game, his route tree takes him everywhere. The game against Cincinnati has shoot out written all over it. If you are looking for a flex play this week. Dell is your man.
TE Cade Otton, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@ Ten)
While taking a look at Otton I was shocked to see he’s available in over 90% of leagues. I’m shocked not only because he got 2 TDs this week, but that he’s seen 21 targets over the last three games. That’s the same number of targets as Mark Andrews over that span, who's the number two fantasy TE this season. Yes, he’s had his down games but you would be hard-pressed to find many TEs who haven't had their fair share of down games. With Baker Mayfield playing solid ball, Otton is a fine play from here on out.
Defense Green Bay Packers (@Pit)
The Packers are the defense to stream this week. After a shaky start defensively, a Week 6 bye has seemed to have helped a lot. Allowing just 15 points per game in the three games since, the Packers now get a great matchup with a pretty bad Steelers offense. The Steelers have the 5th fewest passing yards and the 4th fewest rushing yards this season. The Packers are not getting many forced turnovers and sacks but the matchup this week is too good to pass up for a streamer.
Sits
QB Geno Smith, Seattle Seahawks ( Wsh)
The veteran QB has had the definition of a roller coaster season with only two games over 300 yards passing and three games under 160 yards passing. He actually has a great matchup against a poor Commanders secondary but he simply can’t be trusted at the moment. Over his last four games he’s averaging under 250 yards passing. He’s also piling up turnovers with eight over that same stretch of games. The matchup is intriguing but better options are available.
RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons (@Ari)
If you drafted the star rookie running back, Head coach Arthur Smith is your mortal enemy right now. Robinson has all the talent in the world he just doesn't get the ball. The top 10 pick has failed to reach 15 carries in 7 straight games. He’s barley involved in the passing game with just three catches over the last three weeks and has only surpassed 70 yards rushing twice this year. Robinson has seen just one rush attempt inside the 5-yard line all year. He does have a great matchup on paper this week against the Cardinals. They did play solid against the Browns in Week 9 holding them to just 2.8 yards per carry. But, Robinson is a risky flex at best. If you like someone else don’t hesitate to replace Robinson this week.
WR Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns (@Bal)
The star veteran receiver is coming off his best performance of the year, with 139 yards and a TD against Arizona. He’s another guy having a roller coaster year. With five games over 80 yards receiving and three games with fewer than 40 yards. You have to pick and choose your games wisely with Cooper and you would be wise to keep him on the bench against Baltimore. In their previous matchup he was held to just one catch for 16 yards. The Ravens have been suffocating on defense and there is no reason at all to play Cooper this week.
TE Luke Musgrave, Green Bay Packers (@Pit)
Another guy coming off his best game of the season, Musgrave brought in his first touchdown of the season last week against the Rams. He’s on the sit list because very very few TEs have had back-to-back great showings this year. Your almost betting on him getting a TD since he only has 12 targets over his last three games. The match up this week doesn’t help his case either, as the Steelers are 4th best in the league in stopping tight ends in fantasy this year. I know it’s hard to find a solid TE but Musgrave is not your guy this week.
Defense Seattle Seahawks (Wsh)
Last week the New England Patriots defense made the sit list against the Commanders. They were projected high and finished with four points. Now a worse defense is in the same position. The Seahawks defense is among the most highly projected D/ST of the week, but I can’t tell why. They just gave up 37 points against the Ravens. The Commanders have been no slouch on offense, currently ranked 4th in passing yards this season. The O-line started off rough but have allowed just 4 sacks over the last two games (and only one sack allowed against the Eagles). Don’t let the projections fool you this week. Find a better option on Defense.
