When it comes to building a dominant dynasty team, identifying young talents with immense potential is paramount. Buying in on WR’s in their 2nd or 3rd year in the NFL is a great way to have a long-term dynasty asset and help your team win a championship.
In a previous article, we identified WR David Bell as a potential low-cost acquisition for your team, and we’re starting a new series where we’re going to evaluate each WR taken in the 2022 NFL draft and see if they are worth a bench stash on your Dynasty Fantasy Football roster.
Today we’re going to take a look at the last WR taken in the 2022 NFL draft in Samori Toure and discover if he’s worth a roster spot.
Samori Toure's journey began at the University of Montana, where he emerged as one of the most dominant wide receivers in the FCS (Football Championship Subdivision). During his time with the Grizzlies, Toure amassed an astonishing 303 receptions, 4,293 receiving yards, and 39 touchdowns.
Toure's senior season at Montana was nothing short of exceptional. In 2020, he hauled in 87 receptions for 1,495 yards and 13 touchdowns in just nine games. His remarkable performance earned him the prestigious honor of the Big Sky Conference Offensive Player of the Year.
Following his impressive collegiate career, Toure made the bold decision to transfer to the University of Nebraska, joining the competitive Big Ten Conference. Transfers to Power Five conferences often lead to increased exposure and opportunities for success, however, in the case of Toure, by the time he transferred, he was significantly older than other WR prospects.
Toure's college success and physical attributes attracted the attention of NFL scouts. He was drafted in the 7th round of the 2022 draft by the Green Bay Packers at pick #258 overall.
In fantasy football, opportunity is a crucial factor for success. One year after being drafted, currently Toure finds himself in an interesting situation with the Packers. The team's receiving corps lacks a true established No. 3 receiver, providing Toure with a genuine opportunity to earn playing time and showcase his skills.
With this being said, there are some red flags:
Historically speaking, the fantasy impact of WR’s taken in the 4th round or later in the NFL draft are not good. The most recent example of a 4th round WR making a huge impact at the NFL level is Amon-Ra St. Brown. However, he is the exception rather than the norm and is almost three years younger than Toure as well as a much more talented wideout.
2nd, while he was successful in making the team and the 53-roster last year and played in 11 games, he only had 10 targets, meaning the statistical sample size is currently too small to get an accurate reading on how the Packers feel about him. He could get more work this year, or be relegated to at best a 4th wideout (more about these stats below).
3rd, the Packers drafted multiple WR’s in the draft this year, including wideout Jayden Reed in the 2nd round, and most of the time NFL draft capital plays a large role in an NFL team’s outlook and opportunity with a player. Chances are that the Packers will give Reed a longer leash than Toure when it comes to opportunity.
With this in mind, let’s look at Toure’s stats from last year. Via Playerprofile.com, over the course of the season, Toure had:
- 10 Targets
- 13.9 Target Rate
- 3.3% Target Share
- 72 routes run
- 17.4 aDOT
- 1.14 YPRR (Yards Per Route Run)
In addition to a low target rate of 13.9% and low target share of 3.3%, The low number of 72 routes run does not currently give enough of a sample size to make any determination one way or another as to how the Packers feel about him (We like to see at least 185 routes run before being able to come to any sort of statistical conclusion). Additionally, due to the fact that most of the time because dynasty rosters have a tendency to lean top-heavy, uncertainty doesn’t help or bode well for success of a player or our rosters.
You may want to keep a close eye on Toure throughout the preseason and early weeks of the NFL season. If he wins the #3 spot for the Pack, he could have a bit of value this year.
However, keep in mind that due to draft capital, age, statistical uncertainty, and very little room for error due to more talented WR’s on the roster, Toure has an uphill battle in front of him to consistent fantasy relevancy.
With the odds against him being a long-term fantasy asset, If you have an open bench spot on your roster, he may be worth picking up off of your league’s waiver wire to see how things shake out in the preseason. However, if you choose to do this, I’d still monitor carefully and see if you can sell another owner on his potential. If you can sell him for a low-round draft pick or as part of package deal to acquire a better asset, it would most likely be a wise move, especially if he ends up as the current #3 wide-out in Green Bay.