Fantasy Football Tools: Trade Judge
Fantasy football tools have often lacked the solution for resolving divisive trade disputes.Trade Judge offers a rigorous analysis of trades using projections from multiple expert sources, to determine if a proposed trade should be allowed. It is the objective solution the industry has been looking for to resolve divisive trade disputes.
Whether you are a league provider, a commissioner, or an experienced fantasy football player, you have more than likely seen trade disputes become divisive and disruptive hindrances in your fantasy league. All too often, we've seen postings like the one below in our own leagues:
… this will be my last year using <league-provider>. The entire trade system with 4 objections and no real commissioner watching over things is a complete joke. I know from past dealings with trade support that there is really nobody home ...
Note: Names and league providers have been removed for privacy.
To make matters worse, up until now there has been no objective means to evaluate how a trade will impact the teams involved with the trade. This leaves it up to the league individuals, who often employ a poor mixture of football knowledge and personal bias in making decisions, which usually leads to the type of behavior shown above.
But here is where the problems really lie, before you can make an objective trade decision, you need to review projections of how players will do in the future, and there are very limited sources of such information. Also, trade arbitration requires judgment about future performance of players which experts also have varying degrees of opinions on. Next, assuming you can even boil it down to just fantasy points, fantasy points don’t paint the whole picture. Most trades involve cross-position transfers and require judgment on cross-position relative value. So at the end of the day, because of all these unaddressed challenges, trade arbitration has been mostly arbitrary and thus, rarely satisfying to all those involved.
To alleviate this frustration, Advanced Sports Logic now offers the solution fantasy league providers, commissioners and fantasy football players have long awaited – a true mathematical solution to trade arbitration. Using multiple sets of rest-of-season projections from the Projection Station, Advanced Sports Logic uses its proven mathematical system to analyze a trade’s impact on each team’s probability to win.
Introducing Trade Judge
Trade Judge is the Advanced Sports Logic patent-pending solution to resolve divisive trade disputes. After beta testing of our trade arbitration tool in 2011, Trade Judge is now ready for the prime time and will be included in our product offerings in 2012. It performs rigorous mathematical analysis based on player projections from multiple expert sources. Since opinions may differ on future player projection sources, Advanced Sports Logic uses at least four sources of projections to evaluate trades. If the trade looks good for each team with at least one of the sets of projections, then Trade Judge declares it as a fair trade but if a trade hurts one team with all sets of expert projections, then Trade Judge recommends the trade is to be disallowed.
How It Works
Indicate the trade being disputed in your league by selecting the players in the trade table and click the Analyze Trade button. Trade Judge will run for 10-to 20 minutes as it reads in each of the four sets of projections, processes pseudo-waivers (see Information on the Process Pseudo-Waivers page), and then analyzes the trade. When it completes, it will generate a table showing the projected impact of the trade to each team's probability to win, based on each of the four sets of projections. A positive percentage indicates the proposed trade has passed in Trade Judge.
Limitations
The Advanced Sports Logic Trade Judge solution does not consider player keeper or dynasty values and should not be used as a final decision-making tool in dynasty or keeper leagues.
Like us on Facebook or Follow us on Twitter to get the latest updates
